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Zambia Meteorological Department release 2019+2020 Rain Season Forecast

Zambia Meteorological Department
Rainy Season Forecast
2019/2020

Issued by
Edson Nkonde
Director of Meteorology

Telephone: +260 211 251912
TeleFax: +260 211 252728
P.O. Box 30200, Lusaka

Web Site: www.zmd.gov.zm
E-mail: weather@mtc.gov.zm
4th September, 2019

 

General Situation
Generally, much of Zambia is likely to receive Normal to Above Normal rainfall during the 2019/2020 rainfall season. However, there is a likelihood of dry spells around February especially over the Southern half of the country.

Detailed Forecast
October, November and December (OND): There is a high chance of receiving Normal to Above Normal rainfall for most parts of Zambia except for the north-eastern areas (Isoka, Chama, Mpika, Mbala, Nakonde, Mpulungu, Chinsali, Mungwi and Lundazi districts) which are likely to receive Normal to Below Normal rainfall (Figure 1).

November, December and January (NDJ): The southern half of the country is likely to receive Above Normal Rainfall while the northern half has a high chance of receiving Normal to Above Normal rainfall with the exception of the north-eastern areas where there is a likelihood of Normal to Below Normal rainfall (Figure 2).

December, January and February (DJF): There is a high likelihood of receiving Normal to Above Normal rainfall for the southern half of the country while the northern half has a high chance of recording Above Normal Rainfall (Figure 3).
January, February and March (JFM): The northern half of the country has a high chance of receiving Normal to Above Normal Rainfall while the southern half is likely to received Normal to Below Normal Rainfall. This part of the season will be characterised by reduced rainfall due to dry spells around February (Figure 4).

N.B.
Above Normal: Rainfall greater than 125% of the average for the period
1981 to 2010 (OND) & 1980 to 2010 (JFM)
Normal: Rainfall between 75% and 125% of the average for the
period 1981 to 2010 (OND) & 1980 to 2010 (JFM)
Below Normal: Rainfall less than 75% of the average for the period 1981 to
2010 (OND) & 1980 to 2010 (JFM)

Please note that this forecast is for planning purposes and is based on three monthly averages and does not necessarily reflect the monthly rainfall distribution. Users of this forecast are therefore advised to contact the Director of Meteorology, in the Ministry of Transport and Communications, for interpretation and updates of the forecast. In addition, users are advised to make use of the daily, 7-day and the 10-day weather forecasts for management purposes.

Download the full 2019+2020 Rain Season Forecast, to view forecast maps.

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